The term Inclusive growth has
reached to the corners of the globe and has gained enough significance in
developing countries which have adopted market economy. The government social
security schemes are also being translated into market oriented, i.e being
outsources to market. The government has roll backed and allowed markets to
function promising inclusive growth, i.e every one to be included in the growth
trajectory. Apart from providing opportunities and broadening capabilities
minimum wellbeing is part of the inclusive growth strategy. .This minimum grantee of wellbeing can be
achieved by providing social safety nets for the needy poor and vulnerable. The
governments can provide cash to tackle poverty. But this can be only a
temporary relief. To tackle poverty in long run the country has to broaden
capabilities of its citizens. In the search for perfect tool to tackle both
poverty and build human capabilities one might find conditional cash transfers
more appealing. Across globe conditional cash transfers are being accepted and endorsed
as the magic bullet to tackle poverty. Latin
America has implemented successful Conditional Cash Transfers (CCT) programmes
which gave positive results in tackling poverty and inequality. This wave of conditional cash transfers has
not left United States of America also along with it, with U.S.A experiment programmes
like NYC opportunities.
This
paper is divided into three parts. The first part discusses what conditional
cash transfers are. Second part critically discusses various conditional cash
transfers that are rolled across the globe. The third part of the paper
discusses on Adhaar which is being rolled out and I would draw lessons from
various programmes discussed in the second section and suggest draw a strategy
how to improve the educational outcomes using Adhaar.
What are conditional Cash Transfers (CCT)?
This section discusses the origin,
rationale of CCT. It also discusses whether CCT can be the magic bullet to
tackle poverty and inequality in long run.
From time
immemorial kingdoms and nations states have provided social security programmes
for wellbeing of their citizens. They are variety of programmes which range
from free service provision like education, health etc to transfers and
subsides. But none of these programmes effectively tackled poverty infact has
worsened things and poverty has become intergenerational. These programmes are
aimed to provide temporary relief to meet their current consumption rather than
helping them to climb out of poverty.
A plain idea which
was born in 90’s has given a new direction to the anti poverty programmes. The
neo liberalism movement across the globe, which encourages government to cut
down its expenditures and the Sen’s capability approach have made CCT’s move lucrative
for the governments to adopt.
CCTs have, indeed,
been a major tool for implementing the World Bank’s social protection strategy
‘From Safety Nets to Springboards’.1 More recently, CCTs have also
been included in the ‘Social Protection Floor’ initiative of the UN System,
which aims to secure a “minimum level of access to essential services and
income security for people in the context of current crises and beyond”.2
It all started with
Santiago Levy, a former professor of economics at Boston University, was deputy
minister in the Mexican Ministry of Finance from 1994 to 2000, tasked with
reforming the intricate welfare system after the Tequila Crisis. He believed
that by linking the receipt of welfare payments to investment in human capital
(health and education), he could ensure that the money spent today could
contribute to eradicating poverty, not only in the short term but in the long
term as well, by fostering a healthy and well-educated generation.
CCTs have been
hailed as a way to reduce inequality, help households break out of a vicious
cycle whereby poverty is transmitted from one generation to another, and
promote child health, nutrition and schooling.3The idea of
conditional cash transfers is to transfer cash on condition that the poor will
commit to empower themselves and help bring future generations of poor families
out of poverty.
Any program
requiring a specified course of action to receive a benefit can be considered
as Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT). The motivation for CCT is to provide cash
to finance immediate consumption and fostering investment in human capital. CCT
are used to influence the behavioral pattern in the society. When an
individual's actions do not match societal preferences, conditional cash
transfers provide incentives for individuals to alter their behavior. This
induced change increases the combined welfare of all individuals. By imposing
conditions, the policymaker provides incentives for households to take an
action that they would not ordinarily take on their own. A family might fail to
evaluate the benefits of schooling, CCT can reconcile the interests of parents
and children as cash will be transferred only if the children attend school. Some
times CCT are used to target poor through self selection mechanism, suppose a
government is not sure about targeting it can create progammes that well of
people opt to stay out of programme. This self selection can help government to
reach poor directly. NREGA is a self selection targeted progamme where the wage
offered is not lucrative for citizens who are well-off.
How are CCTs implemented ?
Countries need to explore the
following in assessing the feasibility of a CCT program:
(i)
Current level specific
human capital outcomes have to be assessed.
(ii)
Identify key
constraints to low outcomes in human capital.
(iii)
Cash transfers without conditionality will not be
sufficient to increase human capital outcomes significantly;
(iv)
Monitoring of operations and rigorous evaluation are
critical to ensure effectiveness and success of the program
(v)
Good governance
and political support at high levels for the program play an important role in
implementing a CCT program
CCT
programmes target poor households that under invest in the human capital. The
first practical step in CCT program design is to define the criteria for
eligibility based on poverty. There are various steps in which the criteria of
transferring resources under CCT programmes are considered. First is to
identify the target population, the people who are in need of the programme.
Identification can be done in two ways. The first is means way detail panel
data information is collected about the family income, wages, expenditure etc.
If we cannot find out income for a family we can always use proxies like widow
head of the family, farms size, employment of family head etc. Incase if
targeting is not possible through the means approach. The conditions of the
programme has to be designed in such a way that only people who are in need of
assistance will self select themselves into the progamme. The second step is
deciding the conditions and size of transfer. There is always an issue on
deciding the size of transfer. The size of transfer should always ensure that
people who are eligible would be willing to participate and if it’s a self
targeting method unwanted people should not enter the programme. There should
be a balance between the conditionality and transfer. If the conditionality for
transfer is too demanding, this might act as disincentive for people to not
participate in the programme. Apart from these compliance verification
institutions has to be establish to validate the compliance of individuals to
the conditions.
There are two
critiques for CCT. The right wing argues that people should not be paying for
what they are already supposed to be doing. The left wing argues that
considering poor aren’t doing the right thing and wrong to make them jump
through hoops for money is demeaning.
Case Studies
This
section discusses four case studies across globe. The successful conditional
cash transfer progamme of Brazil and Mexico. Then the disastrous NYC
Opportunity and the Malawi cash transfer experiment which questions the
validity of conditionality for cash transfers.
Cash Transfers in Brazil
Before October 2003, Brazil had
four Federal CCT programes in place.
The first, created
in 1996, w as the Program a de Erradicação do Trabalho Infantil (PETI), which,
as indicated by its name, aimed at the eradication of child labour. Its
conditionality stipulated a commitment that children younger than 16 years of
age would not work and would maintain 75 per cent attendance in school.In 2001,
another CCT, the Federal Bolsa Escola programme, was created. Its
conditionality stipulated school attendance for school-age children (i.e., 6-15
years old) in families w hose per capita income w as below R$ 90.The third CCT
programme was the Bolsa Alim entação, whose conditionality stipulated medical
check-ups for pregnant women, breast feeding for mothers, and immunization of
young children. The fourth CCT progamme was the Cartão Alim entação, was
created for families with monthly per capita income below half of the minimum wage.
The transfer w as to last for six months, and involved a conditionality that
the funds had to be spent on food.
All these
programmes were run by different agencies and had no co-ordination among them.
Some families received all the four transfers while others who equally deserve
received nothing.
In
2003 Bolsa Familia under the framework of the Pome Zero (Zero Hunger) programme
to eradicate hunger and extreme poverty, through the merging of the above four
progammes to ensure security of access to food and fuel. It is currently the largest conditional cash
transfer programme in the world. The programme provides income support to poor
families, if they fulfill criteria of human development requirements, such as
child school attendance including participation in supplementary
socio-educational activities, vaccinations, nutritional monitoring, prenatal
and post natal tests. Bolsa Familia has contributed strongly to the improvement
of income distribution and to poverty reduction. It also helped Brazil to achieve
its Millennium Development Goal on poverty well ahead. The rationale for
designing the programme in this way this is that poor families are likely to
become trapped into poverty over several generations if they are not able to
access resources (i.e., education, health, financial capital and networks) of a
kind which will increase their social mobility.
The important
feature of Bolsa Familia is it targets at a house hold level rather than at
individual or community level. The entitlement are transferred at level of the
family unit, it is expected that the family as a whole should bear the
responsibility for meeting the corresponding requirements. The progamme
entitlements are transferred to women. The government is trying to address
gender disparity by increasing their bargaining power at home. The programme
targets households with monthly income per capita lower than US$52. The value
of the benefits varies according to family income. For example for poor
households, the cash transfer can more than double the disposal income and
while for the extremely poor it is four times. Enrolment of participating
families is conducted at the municipal level through process which is subject
in principle to means-testing. Eligible households are registered in a
centralized data base called Cadas tro Único (Unified Registry).The means test
cannot be practically validated which can lead to leakages of programme.
State has also, in
cooperation with the Brazilian Applied Research Institute (IPEA), developed an
Index of Family Development as a tool to assess the degree of a household's
degree of vulnerability.This index is presently being used to improve targeting
ratios. The transfers in the progamme are made through the banking system this
has led to financial inclusion of these families who never had a bank account
before.
The families
enrolled in the programme are required to fulfill three conditions:
(i)
Attendance for prenatal and postnatal monitoring;
(ii)
Ensuring access
to nutrition and vaccination monitoring for their children from 0 to 7 years
old.
(iii)
Ensuring school attendance levels of at least of 85
percent plus participation in socio-educational activities for children aged 6
to 15 years and 75 per cent attendance for teenagers from 16 to 17 years old.
If the families default to fulfill
the conditions 5 warnings are issued before the benefits are discontinued. This
is the exit criteria for the progamme.
To
sum it up the ambitious programme is a successful in delivering the outcomes.
It is being flashed across the globe as an ideal solution to address poverty at
low cost. The targeting of this programme is very costly as it involves means
method though the family interested has to register at the center the
authenticity of data cannot be ensured as the transaction costs of doing it are
high. This might lead to leakages and non deserving candidates entering into
the programme. The monitoring of the programme is also very effective and the
non-complaint families are not tolerated.
Opportunity NYC
In 2007 as core
strategy for Michael Bloomberg to eradicate poverty, Opportunity NYC was
launched. Bloomberg administration has positioned the programme as an
experiment in applying market principles to social problems5.The
programme is designed to similar cash transfer programmes across the globe. The mayor has argued that conditional cash
transfers ought not be viewed as “paying parents for what they should be doing
anyway” but as bonuses just like those
used as incentives for high-performing Wall Street bankers. The only difference
with other progammes is Opportunity NYC offered it has an additional condition
for students apart from the attendance. Students have to perform and secure
good grades in order to receive the transfers and continue the progamme. The
pilot programme is funded not from taxes but from private sources including
grants from the Rockefeller Foundation, the insurance giant AIG, the Starr
Foundation, the Robin Hood Foundation and George Soros’s Open Society Institute6.
The program has
three components: an education, health and work component. The education
component gave money for certain milestones, including $50/month for 95% high school
attendance, $600 for each Regent exam passed by a high school student, and $25
per parent-teacher conference the parents attended. The health component gave
money for health related milestones, including $200 for each family member who
received a non-emergency checkup from a doctor, and $200 upon completion of a
pediatrician advised Early Intervention evaluation for a child less than 30
months. The work component gives families $300 for someone working an average
of 30 hours/week for 2 months, or between $300–$600 for completing an education
or professional training course.7
The
programme failed to induce the expected behavior. There are various reasons
which can be pointed out. One reason is the urban poverty in New York is
different to that of in any of the Latin American nation. People in urban areas
would not pull kids out of school and send them to work to earn extra pennies. One
more issues that was pointed out was the complex bureaucratic requirements of
the programme which many citizens felt are time consuming8. The
education target failed as Opportunity NYC created an additional criterion for
students to perform without reforming the basic core educational policies,
teaching pedagogy, improving infrastructures. It just assumes that students have
incentive to perform better without all these facilities with just a cash
incentive9. A great majority
of underprivileged adolescents in New York outright lack the resources
necessary for achievement. Without improving the education offered by schools or
providing a support system for students beyond financial incentives. The
programme could not reap the expected benefits and ultimately it was wound up
in 2010.
Oportunidades
It is one of the
core axes of Mexican policy, and it benefits 5.8 million families in 2012. The
economic incentive through conditional
cash transfer is being disbursed to our beneficiaries, helps their families
especially children to improve their nutritional and health condition, as well
as to increase their levels of school attendance, based on the fact that
education is the foundation for a better future. During its 15 years of
operation, Oportunidades has demonstrated that it does work. The
inter-institutional intervention and the conditional compliance with certain
requirements of its beneficiaries are creating a positive impact in the life of
over 34 million Mexicans that nowadays have a better living10.
Mexico has
identified that members of economically disadvantaged families in this
situation face greater chances of drop-outs, greater chances of diseases and
malnutrition, lower possibilities of finding productive and well-paid jobs. It
also identified the child wage from labor market is acknowledgement of the root
cause of dropping out
The Oportunidades
program was designed to address the financial constraints preventing students
from continuing their education. The Program aims its actions at encouraging
enrollment, continuance and regular school attendance of beneficiary boys,
girls and teens, by awarding educational grants and economic resources for
school supplies. Grants amounts increase as the school level is higher.
Starting Junior High School, the Program gives girls a grant which amount is
larger than that given to boys, considering that girls normally tend to drop
out in higher proportions and at earlier ages, situation that has been reverted
within Oportunidades’ beneficiaries. Every two months, eligible mothers of
students with attendance of at least 85 percent receive a cash subsidy. This
subsidy compensates for approximately 40 percent of the child's lost wages,
increased with age and earning power.
The Programme is also coupled with the food support program called Programa de Apoyo Alimentario. It which operates in marginalized areas
with no access to education or health services. Both progammes together have
achieved positive results in Mexico.
The Malawi Experiment
The
Malawi experiment has sent ripples across the globe questioning the validity of
Conditional Cash Transfers (CCT). The World Bank has carried out a study to
validate the impact of CCT on the behavioral changes. It has created three
groups. One group received money transfer with condition to send their children
to school. The second group received transfer without any condition. The third
group is the control group that did not receive any transfers.
The
results of this study made the conditional cash transfer programme poster boys
to rethink the on the validity of conditionality. There is no significant
difference between the groups that received conditional and unconditional cash
transfers. The dropout ratios in both cases have remained low where as control
group which did not receive any cash transfers had very high dropout from
schools. The results said the conditionality has not made any big difference
and it’s the resources which made people to keep their children out of the
school11.
Though
this experiment has proved that conditionality are really not necessary. The
overall results across the globe state that conditional cash transfers have
induced behavioral change. May be for temporarily the parents might send their
children for school with unconditional transfers. But in case of disaster or
drought or any crisis the family might pull out the kid out school and use the
money to meet their daily needs. But they cannot do it in case of conditional
cash transfer as dropping out of kid from school would stop the transfer. So
conditional cash transfer are safe bet compared to the unconditional cash
transfers.
The Era of cash transfers in
India – Aadhar Based Transfers
The ‘socialist’
secular democratic republic of India has huge social security schemes to
protect its poor population. Rajeev Gandhi, former prime minster said only Rs15
out of every Rs100 center spends reaches the poor12. This speaks about the leakages in the public
service delivery system in India. All most every social security progamme
failed to achieve its intended goals due to these leakages. Nandan Nilekhani in
his book Imagining India has suggested
a Unique Identification Number (UID) on lines of United States‘s Social
Security Number (SSN), to cull out the fake beneficiaries and minimize the
leakages. United Progressive Alliance (UPA) has endorsed this idea and created
Aadhar system, an identification system which can be used direct transfers. The
mammoth task of collecting creating data base of one billion identities has
almost done.
This
system can curb corruption and enhance transparency and accountability in the
work of public authorities. These are intended to also help in improving the
standards of delivery of public services in our country13. In few
states already the Aadhar based payments are directly being done to the beneficiaries.
The Delhi government has launched food subsidy transfers to the beneficiaries.
Earlier food was being subsidized in the PDS store. Now under the new scheme
Rs.600 will be transferred to the senior most women of the beneficiary family14.
There are other subsidies like LPG subsidy which is being rolled back across
the states and the amount of subsidy is transferred in the form of cash to the
poor households.
By
and large the Direct Cash Transfers (DCT) programmes that are in place in India
are unconditional. These programmes don’t induce any change in the behavior of
the people. They are helping only to minimize the fiscal deficit of the
government by plugging in the leakages and by improving the targeting
efficiency eliminating the fake beneficiaries. The question now is can these transfers’
help in tackling the poverty in long run. The answer would be big no. The programmes
are not doing anything to enhance human capabilities rather than meeting their
consumption needs. So as discussed above this kind of interventions can only
cushion them during the current crisis but will never pull them out of poverty.
India can be potential global leader if
it can tap its demographic dividend by investing in human capital.
Lets us discuss
how this Aadhar can be used to implement Conditional Cash Transfers to improve
education out comes in India. The education out come in India is at abysmal
state. The dropout rates are very high. Though we have programmes like midday
meals which tackled the drop out ratios the outcomes of education are not favourable.
With Right to Education passed in India its right of every education to get
education till 14 years. Can this act alone help India realizing its dream of
better educational outcomes ?
The answer is no. India has to relook
at its existing educational polities. It’s high time that we draw lessons from
the successful programmes like Bolsa
Familia and Oportunidades and
design similar progammes to increase school enrollment ratios. India should
also consider the fact that just placing conditional cash transfers on school
attendance won’t improve the education outcomes. It has to place incentives
like NYC Opportunity to students who
perform well. But it has to understand the pitfall of NYC Opportunity and provide assistance other than finance through
cash transfers like improving the infrastructure and relooking at the pedagogy.
It should also give incentives for parents who attend the teacher parent
meetings at the school. By making people attend these kinds of meetings and
giving incentives to the students who perform well in board exams the parents
will fight against the bad quality of education in the school and will ensure
the teacher turn out at school. Teacher attendance is the worst in government
schools. So instead of offering students free education vouchers and free meals
cash incentives can make them perform well. Teachers who perform well, based on
student’s performance which can be tracked by the amount of transfer made to
students who score good grades have to reward with incentives. To achieve this
we have to integrate all the education system to Aadhar like Bolsa familia
where all the systems are integrated to the central system. By integrating the systems
and leveraging on Aadhar for transfers and monitoring we can eliminate fake
beneficiaries, tackle corruption and bring in transparency and accountability. By
implementing these policies like the one discussed above we can definitely
bring a behavioral change and finally stream line the education system of
India.
References
1.Holzmann, R (ed.) 2009, Social
Protection and Labor at the World Bank, 2000-2008, The World Bank, Washington
DC.
3. Fiszbein A, Schady N, at al. 2009
p29
9. Brett Fawley and Luciana Juvenal
Mexico’s Oportunidades Program Fails to Make the Grade in NYC, Tyrone Turner/national GeoGraphic
SocieTy/corbiS
11. Sarah Baird, Craig T. McIntosh, Berk Ozler , 2011Cash or
Condition? Evidence from a cash transfer experiment