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Friday, September 14, 2012

Food security in India and impact of neo classical economics on it

Assignment 1- Amith Kaushik Tanneru
Food security in India

Public Distribution system (PDS) is indisputably the indispensable part of Indian Poor.  They are also called as fair price shops as Poor get their food grains, sugar, and kerosene at a subsidized stable price irrespective of market price. PDS story dates back to the Second World War after Bengal famine. PDS was setup to distribute the rationed grains as there was acute grain shortage. After Independence the PDS was introduced to cover the Industrial urban population to prevent them from food price shocks. The PDS mission was to ensure price stability and standard of living of the emerging working class. The government also stabilized price by banning future trades and restricted banks for lending loans for grain trade. By and large the food prices did not grow over time. This is in conformity with the Indian development strategy which was initially modelled after the Lewis development model [Lewis 1954] wherein the agricultural sector supports industrialisation by providing cheap labour and food(Suryanarayana and Geetha 1993). Though a majority of population rely on agriculture the government naively exploited farmers hoping Import substitution Industry (ISI) model is the only way to achieve a sustainable growth. Apart from urban regions PDS was also catered to the food deficit places.
           
Initially the procurement for the PDS was very less as United States of America supported India with PL-480 food programme. In 1964 Food Corporation of India (FCI) was established to procure the food grains from farmers and to encourage them by providing incentives. FCI procures grains from farmers at Minimum Support Price(MSP). FCI also played market price regulation role by releasing excess buffer when there was grain shortage in market. Government took every step to ensure cheap availability of food so that labours can save more and invest back in economy. The market role in food prices was regulated.
           
 This approach was followed till 5th five year plan. PDS was made universal, covering the entire country as a part of the most popular “Garibi hato” plan, 6th five year plan. In 7th five year plant PDS was recognised as permanent feature to regulate to control prices and price fluctuations. This model survived till 1991 Balance of payment crisis.
           
To sail over the crisis India was forced to adopt structural adjustment programme (SAP) advocated by World Bank and International Monetary fund (IMF). SAP is the offshoot of Neoclassical Economics. SAP advices countries to “tighten their belt“and reduce their fiscal imbalances. Under SAP the government has to minimize its role and allow markets to operate under freedom (free markets). India was forced to follow the Neo classical Economy approach to avail the interests at low rate.
           
The fiscal deficit of Indian of Indian government ballooned during 1980-90 due to vote bank subsidy schemes. In 1992-93 the food subsidy bill of the government was Rs 2,800crore that is equivalent to about 39 % of the government fiscal deficit. Restrictions on market led to huge black market for food grains. The ‘fair shops’ were unfair to its customers by cheating on the quantity goods by wrongly calibrating the weights. The goods pocketed were diverted to black markets. Due to these leaks in the system the black market flourished and government subsidies were wasted. Government was left with no other option other than to cut food subsidies and productively use the resources. As a result the PDS was revamped into universal to Targeted Public Distribution System (TDPS). Under TDPS 40% of Indian population which is considered to be poor is covered. Differential pricing system was created. Few Studies which have shown that a 10 per cent increase in food grain prices in the year would increase rural poverty by 10.6 per cent in the next year [Bhattacharya et al1991] (Suryanarayana 2008). This concern influenced government not ignore food subsidy to poor as a bad monsoon can put more people back to poverty. The government created two categories namely Below Poverty Line (BPL) and Above Poverty Line (APL). TDPS started catering to BPL. APL can also use PDS at a premium price. In 2000 new category was created for “poorest of the poor” called Antyodaya Anna Yojana (AAY) which further subsidized the food prices. Under AAY one crore population was covered. Government advocated that the subsidies for AAY and BPL are indispensable.
           
As discussed above the FCI procures food grains at MSP as per recommendations of commission for agriculture costs and prices(CACP).CACP has to consider international price situation before recommending MSP , but It has never taken it into account. So there was a huge gap between MSP and international prices. As part of liberalization to align with the world economy the rupee was devaluated in 1991. This further widened gap between the prices. This was used as strong evidence by farmers’ groups to prove that the system of government intervention, instead of providing support to farmers, was in fact taxing them, as what was denied to farmers by not allowing access to international prices was more than what was paid to them in the form of price intervention. Protests from farmers to increase the MSP and new economic policy to integrate Indian markets with global markets forced  government to substantially hike MSP to reduce the gap between domestic and international prices(Chand 2005).But the hike in MSP and open markets did not favour farmers as per the neoclassical economics. The traders and middle men maximized their utility with rationality by exploiting farmers. The reforms failed to connect the farmers with market. This can be the limitation of neoclassical economics as Maximization of an individual’s utility can be determent to others. Traders utility maximization led to exploitation of small and marginal farmers.

             Meanwhile FCI started stocking up its warehouses with buffer grain. During 90’s PDS prices were also hiked (differential price strategy) which brought down the difference between market price and PDS price. The good quality grain was diverted into black market because of greedy officers at FCI. FCI is left with only substandard grains. People started preferring market products as market offered better quality compared to PDS.FCI cant export the grains due to poor quality of grain. The TDPS strategy instead of cutting down the food subsidy bill inflated it. The government is now proposing to increase the number of people covered under the Right to food. But the debate now is that there is no point in nearly universalizing TDPS, when the majority current allocation is underutilized due to poor quality of grains. (Suryanarayana 2008).


            Under the SAP government revamped PDS into TDPS to cut down the subsidy and target them to only needy. But in practice the government failed to cut down the food subsidy. Year on year it procured more food grains but failed to dispense them out of PDS or export them due to their poor quality. The only drain for the grains out of warehouses is Mid-day meal programme and SC/ST welfare hostels. Even the poorest of poor do not prefer FCI grain and the quota allocated to them remains underutilized. FCI sits on huge piles of buffer stock. It is on a procurement spree and is expanding its warehouses as the existing ones cannot accommodate any more. Huge procurement by FCI is keeping market prices high as its sucking huge chunk of grains into its warehouse from ever hungry markets which are depriving common man to afford grains in a local market.
            The government has changed consumption pattern with introduction of MSP. Over period the farmers shifted from growing pulses, coarse grains to wheat and rice as latter MSP are higher. Production of pulses has fallen to alarming levels and we are exporting millions of pulses.

The way out

The government should let markets decide what farmers have to grow.  FCI should have retracted instead of expanding as part of reforms. It should restrict itself only in procuring buffer stocks for market stabilization. Buffer stock becomes more important now to protect both farmer and consumer interests as the futures for gains is allowed in market which can lead to price shocks. The entire PDS system has to be disbanded as it proved to be inefficient in achieving food security and the market has to be allowed to work. The government can subsidize poor by giving them food coupons or direct cash transfers so that poor can buy goods from market. This will plug leaks and reduce the food subsidy bill. The market prices can give better incomes to farmers. By this India can achieve greater food security both by increasing purchasing power of poor. The government should also make sure that the farmers explore markets and earn profits without being exploited by middle men. By following Neo Classical Economics in both letter and spirit we can achieve a more stable food security for the nation.



Bibliography
Chand, Ramesh. 2005. “Whither India’s Food Policy?” Economic and Political Weekly (March 12). http://www.epw.in/special-articles/whither-indias-food-policy.html.
Suryanarayana, M. H. 2008. “Agflation and the Public Distribution System.” Economic and Political Weekly (May 3). http://www.epw.in/commentary/agflation-and-public-distribution-system.html.
Suryanarayana, M. H., and S. Geetha. 1993. “Revamping PDS Some Issues and Implications.” Economic and Political Weekly (October 9). http://www.epw.in/special-articles/revamping-pds-some-issues-and-implications.html.




                       

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